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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 5

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Wiklöf Holding Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Oulu Win

35%

Mariehamn

2.88

24%

Draw

4.11

41%

AC Oulu

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Mariehamn xG

Total xG

3.39

1.77

AC Oulu xG

35%
24%
41%
MariehamnDrawAC Oulu

2.88

35%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

17%

Mariehamn

5.87

20%

AC Oulu

5.05

Win to Nil

6%

Mariehamn

16.92

8%

AC Oulu

12.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 6.0 5.3 3.1 1.4 0.5
1 5.5 9.7 8.6 5.0 2.2 0.8
2 4.4 7.8 6.9 4.1 1.8 0.6
3 2.4 4.2 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.3
4 1.0 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.619
λ Away (xG) 1.770
Total xG 3.389
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.653
Mariehamn attack strength 0.875
Mariehamn defence strength 1.163
AC Oulu attack strength 0.920
AC Oulu defence strength 1.106
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44