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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Championship Round - 1

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Vare Areena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KuPS Win

40%

KuPS

2.50

25%

Draw

4.03

35%

Ilves

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

KuPS xG

Total xG

3.29

1.59

Ilves xG

40%
25%
35%
KuPSDrawIlves

2.50

40%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.94

Clean Sheet

20%

KuPS

4.89

18%

Ilves

5.49

Win to Nil

8%

KuPS

12.22

6%

Ilves

15.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 5.9 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 6.3 10.1 8.0 4.2 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.6 6.8 3.6 1.4 0.5
3 3.1 4.9 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.3
4 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.703
λ Away (xG) 1.587
Total xG 3.290
League avg home goals 1.672
League avg away goals 1.652
KuPS attack strength 1.235
KuPS defence strength 0.833
Ilves attack strength 1.154
Ilves defence strength 0.825
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44