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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Tammelan Stadion

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ilves Win

66%

Ilves

1.51

19%

Draw

5.31

15%

Mariehamn

6.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.46

Ilves xG

Total xG

3.57

1.11

Mariehamn xG

66%
19%
15%
IlvesDrawMariehamn

1.51

66%

Home win

5.31

19%

Draw

6.69

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

33%

Ilves

3.05

9%

Mariehamn

11.66

Win to Nil

22%

Ilves

4.60

1%

Mariehamn

78.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.9 7.7 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 8.5 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 7.0 7.7 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.456
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 3.570
League avg home goals 1.676
League avg away goals 1.621
Ilves attack strength 1.096
Ilves defence strength 0.868
Mariehamn attack strength 0.792
Mariehamn defence strength 1.337
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43