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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Tammelan Stadion

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ilves Win

49%

Ilves

2.06

24%

Draw

4.16

27%

HJK Helsinki

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Ilves xG

Total xG

3.05

1.28

HJK Helsinki xG

49%
24%
27%
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki

2.06

49%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

28%

Ilves

3.61

17%

HJK Helsinki

5.88

Win to Nil

13%

Ilves

7.43

5%

HJK Helsinki

21.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 6.0 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 10.7 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 5.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.772
λ Away (xG) 1.283
Total xG 3.055
League avg home goals 1.692
League avg away goals 1.252
Ilves attack strength 1.080
Ilves defence strength 0.982
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.044
HJK Helsinki defence strength 0.970
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22