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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 4 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Tammelan Stadion

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ilves Win

58%

Ilves

1.71

21%

Draw

4.68

20%

Gnistan

4.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Ilves xG

Total xG

3.37

1.21

Gnistan xG

58%
21%
20%
IlvesDrawGnistan

1.71

58%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

4.97

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

30%

Ilves

3.36

12%

Gnistan

8.69

Win to Nil

17%

Ilves

5.74

2%

Gnistan

43.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.4 9.0 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 7.0 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.162
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 3.374
League avg home goals 1.569
League avg away goals 1.485
Ilves attack strength 1.166
Ilves defence strength 0.986
Gnistan attack strength 0.828
Gnistan defence strength 1.182
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39