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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Championship Round - 3

Kick-off

Mon 29 Sep 2025

17:00

Venue

Bolt Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

HJK Helsinki Win

44%

HJK Helsinki

2.26

21%

Draw

4.76

35%

Ilves

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

1 – 1

6.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

HJK Helsinki xG

Total xG

4.26

2.00

Ilves xG

44%
21%
35%
HJK HelsinkiDrawIlves

2.26

44%

Home win

4.76

21%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

42%

Over 4.5

2.38

58%

Under 4.5

1.72

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

78%

BTTS Yes

1.28

22%

BTTS No

4.55

Clean Sheet

13%

HJK Helsinki

7.41

11%

Ilves

9.52

Win to Nil

6%

HJK Helsinki

16.78

4%

Ilves

27.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 2.8 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.4
1 3.2 6.4 6.4 4.3 2.1 0.9
2 3.6 7.2 7.2 4.8 2.4 1.0
3 2.7 5.4 5.4 3.6 1.8 0.7
4 1.5 3.0 3.1 2.0 1.0 0.4
5 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.253
λ Away (xG) 2.003
Total xG 4.256
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.653
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.612
HJK Helsinki defence strength 1.058
Ilves attack strength 1.146
Ilves defence strength 0.836
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44