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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 11 Aug 2025

17:00

Venue

Bolt Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ilves Win

23%

HJK Helsinki

4.42

22%

Draw

4.47

55%

Ilves

1.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

0 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

HJK Helsinki xG

Total xG

3.36

2.08

Ilves xG

23%
22%
55%
HJK HelsinkiDrawIlves

4.42

23%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

1.82

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

13%

HJK Helsinki

7.99

28%

Ilves

3.61

Win to Nil

3%

HJK Helsinki

35.32

15%

Ilves

6.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 7.2 7.5 5.2 2.7 1.1
1 4.5 9.2 9.6 6.7 3.5 1.4
2 2.9 5.9 6.2 4.3 2.2 0.9
3 1.2 2.5 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.4
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.285
λ Away (xG) 2.078
Total xG 3.363
League avg home goals 1.562
League avg away goals 1.605
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.198
HJK Helsinki defence strength 1.110
Ilves attack strength 1.166
Ilves defence strength 0.686
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40