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Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 5

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Tehtaan kenttä

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Haka Win

52%

Haka

1.94

22%

Draw

4.45

26%

Kooteepee

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Haka xG

Total xG

3.59

1.47

Kooteepee xG

52%
22%
26%
HakaDrawKooteepee

1.94

52%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.18

Clean Sheet

23%

Haka

4.36

12%

Kooteepee

8.28

Win to Nil

12%

Haka

8.45

3%

Kooteepee

31.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.1 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.2
1 5.9 8.6 6.3 3.1 1.1 0.3
2 6.2 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.4 6.4 4.7 2.3 0.9 0.3
4 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.114
λ Away (xG) 1.472
Total xG 3.586
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.653
Haka attack strength 0.849
Haka defence strength 1.163
Kooteepee attack strength 0.766
Kooteepee defence strength 1.488
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 22