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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 3

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Project Liv Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mariehamn Win

35%

FF Jaro

2.86

26%

Draw

3.84

39%

Mariehamn

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

FF Jaro xG

Total xG

3.05

1.57

Mariehamn xG

35%
26%
39%
FF JaroDrawMariehamn

2.86

35%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

21%

FF Jaro

4.82

23%

Mariehamn

4.40

Win to Nil

7%

FF Jaro

13.78

9%

Mariehamn

11.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 7.4 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 7.0 11.0 8.6 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.1 6.4 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 2.6 4.0 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.481
λ Away (xG) 1.573
Total xG 3.054
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.653
FF Jaro attack strength 0.687
FF Jaro defence strength 1.196
Mariehamn attack strength 0.796
Mariehamn defence strength 1.288
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 44