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Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 4

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Project Liv Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Haka Win

29%

FF Jaro

3.47

26%

Draw

3.86

45%

Haka

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

FF Jaro xG

Total xG

2.99

1.68

Haka xG

29%
26%
45%
FF JaroDrawHaka

3.47

29%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

19%

FF Jaro

5.37

27%

Haka

3.70

Win to Nil

5%

FF Jaro

18.61

12%

Haka

8.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.5 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
1 6.6 11.1 9.3 5.2 2.2 0.7
2 4.3 7.2 6.1 3.4 1.4 0.5
3 1.9 3.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 1.681
Total xG 2.988
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.653
FF Jaro attack strength 0.691
FF Jaro defence strength 1.195
Haka attack strength 0.851
Haka defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 44