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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Molineux Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wolves Win

57%

Wolves

1.77

23%

Draw

4.43

21%

Leeds

4.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Wolves xG

Total xG

2.88

1.03

Leeds xG

57%
23%
21%
WolvesDrawLeeds

1.77

57%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

4.81

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

36%

Wolves

2.80

16%

Leeds

6.38

Win to Nil

20%

Wolves

4.95

3%

Leeds

30.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 5.8 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 10.7 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.9 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.853
λ Away (xG) 1.031
Total xG 2.884
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.152
Wolves attack strength 0.978
Wolves defence strength 1.416
Leeds attack strength 0.632
Leeds defence strength 1.380
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 4