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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

London Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Ham Win

37%

West Ham

2.71

27%

Draw

3.68

36%

Chelsea

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

West Ham xG

Total xG

2.52

1.25

Chelsea xG

37%
27%
36%
West HamDrawChelsea

2.71

37%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

29%

West Ham

3.48

28%

Chelsea

3.56

Win to Nil

11%

West Ham

9.42

10%

Chelsea

9.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 10.1 6.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.3 12.8 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.5 8.1 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.269
λ Away (xG) 1.247
Total xG 2.516
League avg home goals 1.463
League avg away goals 1.245
West Ham attack strength 0.929
West Ham defence strength 1.065
Chelsea attack strength 0.941
Chelsea defence strength 0.934
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39