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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

London Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

25%

West Ham

4.05

23%

Draw

4.40

53%

Aston Villa

1.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

West Ham xG

Total xG

3.13

1.89

Aston Villa xG

25%
23%
53%
West HamDrawAston Villa

4.05

25%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

1.90

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

15%

West Ham

6.65

29%

Aston Villa

3.44

Win to Nil

4%

West Ham

26.94

15%

Aston Villa

6.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 8.3 7.8 5.0 2.3 0.9
1 5.4 10.2 9.7 6.1 2.9 1.1
2 3.3 6.3 6.0 3.8 1.8 0.7
3 1.4 2.6 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.3
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.235
λ Away (xG) 1.894
Total xG 3.129
League avg home goals 1.564
League avg away goals 1.284
West Ham attack strength 0.840
West Ham defence strength 1.323
Aston Villa attack strength 1.114
Aston Villa defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53