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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

42%

Tottenham

2.37

21%

Draw

4.78

37%

Nottingham Forest

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

2 – 2

7.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Tottenham xG

Total xG

3.90

1.88

Nottingham Forest xG

42%
21%
37%
TottenhamDrawNottingham Forest

2.37

42%

Home win

4.78

21%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.36

26%

BTTS No

3.78

Clean Sheet

15%

Tottenham

6.57

13%

Nottingham Forest

7.55

Win to Nil

6%

Tottenham

15.54

5%

Nottingham Forest

20.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 3.8 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.4
1 4.1 7.7 7.2 4.5 2.1 0.8
2 4.1 7.8 7.3 4.6 2.2 0.8
3 2.8 5.2 4.9 3.1 1.5 0.5
4 1.4 2.6 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.3
5 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.022
λ Away (xG) 1.882
Total xG 3.904
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 1.422
Tottenham attack strength 1.143
Tottenham defence strength 1.151
Nottingham Forest attack strength 1.150
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.212
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70