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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

31%

Tottenham

3.27

22%

Draw

4.51

47%

Newcastle

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.1%

Draw

1 – 1

6.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Tottenham xG

Total xG

4.20

2.32

Newcastle xG

31%
22%
47%
TottenhamDrawNewcastle

3.27

31%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

60%

Over 3.5

1.67

40%

Under 3.5

2.50

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

78%

BTTS Yes

1.29

22%

BTTS No

4.47

Clean Sheet

10%

Tottenham

10.20

15%

Newcastle

6.55

Win to Nil

3%

Tottenham

33.30

7%

Newcastle

13.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 3.5 4.0 3.1 1.8 0.8
1 2.8 6.5 7.6 5.9 3.4 1.6
2 2.6 6.1 7.1 5.5 3.2 1.5
3 1.7 3.8 4.5 3.5 2.0 0.9
4 0.8 1.8 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.4
5 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.879
λ Away (xG) 2.322
Total xG 4.201
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.479
Tottenham attack strength 1.372
Tottenham defence strength 1.305
Newcastle attack strength 1.203
Newcastle defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57