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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Mon 11 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

31%

Tottenham

3.27

26%

Draw

3.82

43%

Leeds

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Tottenham xG

Total xG

3.03

1.66

Leeds xG

31%
26%
43%
TottenhamDrawLeeds

3.27

31%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

19%

Tottenham

5.26

25%

Leeds

3.94

Win to Nil

6%

Tottenham

17.19

11%

Leeds

9.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 8.0 6.7 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 6.6 11.0 9.1 5.0 2.1 0.7
2 4.5 7.5 6.3 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.1 3.4 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.371
λ Away (xG) 1.660
Total xG 3.031
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.233
Tottenham attack strength 0.887
Tottenham defence strength 1.407
Leeds attack strength 0.957
Leeds defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 35