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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

45%

Tottenham

2.21

24%

Draw

4.18

31%

Burnley

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Tottenham xG

Total xG

3.01

1.34

Burnley xG

45%
24%
31%
TottenhamDrawBurnley

2.21

45%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

26%

Tottenham

3.81

19%

Burnley

5.31

Win to Nil

12%

Tottenham

8.40

6%

Burnley

17.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.6 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.3 11.0 7.4 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.2 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.669
λ Away (xG) 1.337
Total xG 3.006
League avg home goals 1.502
League avg away goals 1.357
Tottenham attack strength 0.966
Tottenham defence strength 1.159
Burnley attack strength 0.850
Burnley defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0