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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Ham Win

30%

Sunderland

3.37

25%

Draw

4.05

46%

West Ham

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.82

1.59

West Ham xG

30%
25%
46%
SunderlandDrawWest Ham

3.37

30%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

20%

Sunderland

4.89

29%

West Ham

3.43

Win to Nil

6%

Sunderland

16.49

13%

West Ham

7.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.4 7.5 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.3 11.7 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.5 7.2 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.9 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.234
λ Away (xG) 1.588
Total xG 2.822
League avg home goals 1.502
League avg away goals 1.357
Sunderland attack strength 0.850
Sunderland defence strength 1.150
West Ham attack strength 1.018
West Ham defence strength 0.966
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38