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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sunderland Win
44%
2.29
24%
4.15
32%
3.09
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
1 – 0
7.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.67
Sunderland xG
Total xG
3.08
1.41
Newcastle xG
SunderlandDrawNewcastle
2.29
44%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
3.09
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.63
39%
BTTS No
2.59
Clean Sheet
24%
4.09
19%
5.30
Win to Nil
11%
9.38
6%
16.39
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 10.8 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.668
λ Away (xG)
1.408
Total xG
3.076
League avg home goals
1.564
League avg away goals
1.284
Sunderland attack strength
1.089
Sunderland defence strength
1.066
Newcastle attack strength
1.029
Newcastle defence strength
0.979
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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