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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 28 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

62%

Sunderland

1.62

21%

Draw

4.80

17%

Leeds

5.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Sunderland xG

Total xG

3.00

0.97

Leeds xG

62%
21%
17%
SunderlandDrawLeeds

1.62

62%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

5.76

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

38%

Sunderland

2.65

13%

Leeds

7.60

Win to Nil

23%

Sunderland

4.28

2%

Leeds

43.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 9.8 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 10.0 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.9 6.7 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.5 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.028
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 3.001
League avg home goals 1.532
League avg away goals 1.256
Sunderland attack strength 1.029
Sunderland defence strength 0.965
Leeds attack strength 0.803
Leeds defence strength 1.286
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 17