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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

34%

Sunderland

2.96

31%

Draw

3.20

35%

Brighton

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.39

1.21

Brighton xG

34%
31%
35%
SunderlandDrawBrighton

2.96

34%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

30%

Sunderland

3.35

31%

Brighton

3.26

Win to Nil

10%

Sunderland

9.92

11%

Brighton

9.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 11.1 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.8 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.7 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.183
λ Away (xG) 1.209
Total xG 2.392
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.303
Sunderland attack strength 0.909
Sunderland defence strength 0.963
Brighton attack strength 0.963
Brighton defence strength 0.923
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 67