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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
27%
3.70
29%
3.44
44%
2.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
11.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.90
Sunderland xG
Total xG
2.14
1.24
Arsenal xG
SunderlandDrawArsenal
3.70
27%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
2.27
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.37
58%
BTTS No
1.73
Clean Sheet
29%
3.45
40%
2.47
Win to Nil
8%
12.79
18%
5.62
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7 | 14.5 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 13.1 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.904
λ Away (xG)
1.239
Total xG
2.143
League avg home goals
1.520
League avg away goals
1.176
Sunderland attack strength
0.980
Sunderland defence strength
0.942
Arsenal attack strength
1.118
Arsenal defence strength
0.607
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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