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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

14%

Southampton

7.06

21%

Draw

4.76

65%

Tottenham

1.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

9.7%

Away win

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Southampton xG

Total xG

3.29

2.28

Tottenham xG

14%
21%
65%
SouthamptonDrawTottenham

7.06

14%

Home win

4.76

21%

Draw

1.54

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

10%

Southampton

9.80

36%

Tottenham

2.74

Win to Nil

1%

Southampton

69.18

24%

Tottenham

4.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 8.5 9.7 7.4 4.2 1.9
1 3.8 8.6 9.8 7.4 4.2 1.9
2 1.9 4.3 4.9 3.7 2.1 1.0
3 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.008
λ Away (xG) 2.282
Total xG 3.290
League avg home goals 1.637
League avg away goals 1.422
Southampton attack strength 0.751
Southampton defence strength 1.476
Tottenham attack strength 1.087
Tottenham defence strength 0.819
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 53