Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Wed 2 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

6%

Southampton

15.46

14%

Draw

7.35

80%

Crystal Palace

1.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 3

11.9%

Away win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.60

Southampton xG

Total xG

3.17

2.57

Crystal Palace xG

14%
80%
SouthamptonDrawCrystal Palace

15.46

6%

Home win

7.35

14%

Draw

1.25

80%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

8%

Southampton

13.12

55%

Crystal Palace

1.82

Win to Nil

0%

Southampton

44%

Crystal Palace

2.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 10.8 13.9 11.9 7.7 3.9
1 2.5 6.5 8.3 7.1 4.6 2.4
2 0.7 1.9 2.5 2.1 1.4 0.7
3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.598
λ Away (xG) 2.574
Total xG 3.172
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.463
Southampton attack strength 0.610
Southampton defence strength 1.675
Crystal Palace attack strength 1.050
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.682
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 66