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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

7%

Southampton

15.20

12%

Draw

8.61

82%

Bournemouth

1.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 3

8.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

8.1%

Away win

0 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Southampton xG

Total xG

4.29

3.33

Bournemouth xG

12%
82%
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth

15.20

7%

Home win

8.61

12%

Draw

1.22

82%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

62%

Over 3.5

1.61

38%

Under 3.5

2.63

43%

Over 4.5

2.33

57%

Under 4.5

1.75

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

4%

Southampton

28.02

38%

Bournemouth

2.60

Win to Nil

0%

Southampton

31%

Bournemouth

3.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 4.6 7.6 8.5 7.0 4.7
1 1.3 4.4 7.3 8.1 6.7 4.5
2 0.6 2.1 3.5 3.9 3.2 2.2
3 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.7
4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.957
λ Away (xG) 3.333
Total xG 4.290
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.537
Southampton attack strength 0.623
Southampton defence strength 1.675
Bournemouth attack strength 1.295
Bournemouth defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 62