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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

26%

Nottingham Forest

3.81

31%

Draw

3.21

43%

Tottenham

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.54

1.44

Tottenham xG

26%
31%
43%
Nottingham ForestDrawTottenham

3.81

26%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.35

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

24%

Nottingham Forest

4.22

33%

Tottenham

2.99

Win to Nil

6%

Nottingham Forest

16.08

14%

Tottenham

7.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 11.4 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 8.7 12.5 9.0 4.3 1.6 0.4
2 4.7 6.8 4.9 2.4 0.9 0.2
3 1.7 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.095
λ Away (xG) 1.441
Total xG 2.536
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.518
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.902
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.785
Tottenham attack strength 1.208
Tottenham defence strength 0.789
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55