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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

49%

Nottingham Forest

2.03

28%

Draw

3.53

22%

Sunderland

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.24

0.84

Sunderland xG

49%
28%
22%
Nottingham ForestDrawSunderland

2.03

49%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

43%

Nottingham Forest

2.33

25%

Sunderland

4.03

Win to Nil

21%

Nottingham Forest

4.71

6%

Sunderland

18.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 9.0 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 14.9 12.6 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.4 8.7 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 4.8 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 0.844
Total xG 2.237
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.207
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.935
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.108
Sunderland attack strength 0.631
Sunderland defence strength 1.038
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 5