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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

12:30

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

27%

Nottingham Forest

3.66

22%

Draw

4.46

50%

Manchester City

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

3.23

1.89

Manchester City xG

27%
22%
50%
Nottingham ForestDrawManchester City

3.66

27%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

15%

Nottingham Forest

6.61

26%

Manchester City

3.84

Win to Nil

4%

Nottingham Forest

24.18

13%

Manchester City

7.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 7.4 7.0 4.4 2.1 0.8
1 5.3 10.0 9.5 6.0 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 6.7 6.4 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.6 3.0 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.345
λ Away (xG) 1.889
Total xG 3.234
League avg home goals 1.550
League avg away goals 1.269
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.951
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.085
Manchester City attack strength 1.372
Manchester City defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55