Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Tue 14 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

28%

Nottingham Forest

3.59

28%

Draw

3.62

45%

Liverpool

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

3.13

1.76

Liverpool xG

28%
28%
45%
Nottingham ForestDrawLiverpool

3.59

28%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

17%

Nottingham Forest

5.80

25%

Liverpool

3.93

Win to Nil

5%

Nottingham Forest

20.82

11%

Liverpool

8.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 7.7 6.8 4.0 1.7 0.6
1 6.0 10.6 9.3 5.4 2.4 0.8
2 4.1 7.2 6.3 3.7 1.6 0.6
3 1.9 3.3 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.369
λ Away (xG) 1.758
Total xG 3.127
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.512
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.917
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.721
Liverpool attack strength 1.613
Liverpool defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 57