Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

14:00

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

53%

Nottingham Forest

1.87

24%

Draw

4.15

22%

Leeds

4.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.70

1.00

Leeds xG

53%
24%
22%
Nottingham ForestDrawLeeds

1.87

53%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

4.46

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

37%

Nottingham Forest

2.73

18%

Leeds

5.42

Win to Nil

20%

Nottingham Forest

5.10

4%

Leeds

24.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.8 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.4 11.5 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.7 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.691
λ Away (xG) 1.004
Total xG 2.695
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.176
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.814
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.271
Leeds attack strength 0.672
Leeds defence strength 1.346
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 10