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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

55%

Nottingham Forest

1.82

28%

Draw

3.52

17%

Everton

5.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.2%

Draw

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

1.95

0.60

Everton xG

55%
28%
17%
Nottingham ForestDrawEverton

1.82

55%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

5.97

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.98

66%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

55%

Nottingham Forest

1.83

26%

Everton

3.83

Win to Nil

30%

Nottingham Forest

3.34

4%

Everton

22.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2 8.6 2.6 0.5 0.1
1 19.1 11.6 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 12.9 7.8 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 3.5 1.1 0.2
4 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.344
λ Away (xG) 0.605
Total xG 1.949
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.419
Nottingham Forest attack strength 1.123
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.606
Everton attack strength 0.703
Everton defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69