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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
28%
3.59
25%
3.96
47%
2.13
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.4%
Away win
0 – 1
9.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.24
Nottingham Forest xG
Total xG
2.91
1.67
Chelsea xG
Nottingham ForestDrawChelsea
3.59
28%
Home win
3.96
25%
Draw
2.13
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.39
Clean Sheet
19%
5.31
29%
3.45
Win to Nil
5%
19.07
14%
7.36
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 9.1 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.3 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.239
λ Away (xG)
1.670
Total xG
2.909
League avg home goals
1.446
League avg away goals
1.169
Nottingham Forest attack strength
0.827
Nottingham Forest defence strength
1.136
Chelsea attack strength
1.257
Chelsea defence strength
1.036
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45