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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

16:00

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

44%

Nottingham Forest

2.28

28%

Draw

3.53

28%

Chelsea

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.24

0.95

Chelsea xG

44%
28%
28%
Nottingham ForestDrawChelsea

2.28

44%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

38%

Nottingham Forest

2.60

28%

Chelsea

3.60

Win to Nil

17%

Nottingham Forest

5.91

8%

Chelsea

13.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 10.2 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.7 13.1 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.4 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.7 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 0.955
Total xG 2.237
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.374
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.935
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.848
Chelsea attack strength 0.820
Chelsea defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75