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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

14:00

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

35%

Nottingham Forest

2.88

29%

Draw

3.48

37%

Brentford

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.45

1.24

Brentford xG

35%
29%
37%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrentford

2.88

35%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

29%

Nottingham Forest

3.47

30%

Brentford

3.34

Win to Nil

10%

Nottingham Forest

10.00

11%

Brentford

9.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.7 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.4 12.9 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.3 7.8 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.244
Total xG 2.449
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.320
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.933
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.921
Brentford attack strength 1.023
Brentford defence strength 0.858
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38