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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Nottingham Forest

3.21

35%

Draw

2.89

34%

Aston Villa

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.09

1.07

Aston Villa xG

31%
35%
34%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa

3.21

31%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

34%

Nottingham Forest

2.92

36%

Aston Villa

2.76

Win to Nil

11%

Nottingham Forest

9.39

12%

Aston Villa

8.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 13.3 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 12.6 13.5 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.1
2 6.4 6.8 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.014
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 2.087
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.253
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.673
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.874
Aston Villa attack strength 0.979
Aston Villa defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69