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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

49%

Nottingham Forest

2.05

28%

Draw

3.58

23%

Aston Villa

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.68

1.06

Aston Villa xG

49%
28%
23%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa

2.05

49%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

35%

Nottingham Forest

2.89

20%

Aston Villa

5.06

Win to Nil

17%

Nottingham Forest

5.92

5%

Aston Villa

21.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.3 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.1 11.8 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.621
λ Away (xG) 1.061
Total xG 2.682
League avg home goals 1.646
League avg away goals 1.399
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.836
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.821
Aston Villa attack strength 0.924
Aston Villa defence strength 1.178
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53