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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Wed 26 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

40%

Nottingham Forest

2.50

26%

Draw

3.89

34%

Arsenal

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.70

1.29

Arsenal xG

40%
26%
34%
Nottingham ForestDrawArsenal

2.50

40%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

28%

Nottingham Forest

3.63

24%

Arsenal

4.12

Win to Nil

11%

Nottingham Forest

9.05

8%

Arsenal

12.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.6 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.5 12.2 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.6 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.415
λ Away (xG) 1.288
Total xG 2.703
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.551
Nottingham Forest attack strength 1.301
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.717
Arsenal attack strength 1.159
Arsenal defence strength 0.724
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64