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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Wed 15 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

53%

Newcastle

1.89

25%

Draw

3.93

22%

Wolves

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

2 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.35

1.29

Wolves xG

53%
25%
22%
NewcastleDrawWolves

1.89

53%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.89

Clean Sheet

27%

Newcastle

3.64

13%

Wolves

7.82

Win to Nil

15%

Newcastle

6.88

3%

Wolves

36.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.5 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.2 9.3 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.1 6.6 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.6 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.057
λ Away (xG) 1.293
Total xG 3.350
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.506
Newcastle attack strength 1.132
Newcastle defence strength 0.783
Wolves attack strength 1.097
Wolves defence strength 1.233
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58