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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

17:30

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

54%

Newcastle

1.84

24%

Draw

4.19

22%

West Ham

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.20

1.21

West Ham xG

54%
24%
22%
NewcastleDrawWest Ham

1.84

54%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

30%

Newcastle

3.34

14%

West Ham

7.33

Win to Nil

16%

Newcastle

6.12

3%

West Ham

33.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 4.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.1 9.8 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.8 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.4 6.5 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.992
λ Away (xG) 1.205
Total xG 3.197
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.237
Newcastle attack strength 1.175
Newcastle defence strength 1.231
West Ham attack strength 0.791
West Ham defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74