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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Newcastle Win
36%
2.76
28%
3.56
36%
2.80
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.4%
Home win
0 – 1
11.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.17
Newcastle xG
Total xG
2.33
1.16
Manchester City xG
NewcastleDrawManchester City
2.76
36%
Home win
3.56
28%
Draw
2.80
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.11
53%
BTTS No
1.90
Clean Sheet
31%
3.20
31%
3.23
Win to Nil
11%
8.83
11%
9.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7 | 11.2 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.4 | 13.2 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.173
λ Away (xG)
1.162
Total xG
2.335
League avg home goals
1.536
League avg away goals
1.174
Newcastle attack strength
1.066
Newcastle defence strength
0.977
Manchester City attack strength
1.013
Manchester City defence strength
0.716
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49