Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

68%

Newcastle

1.46

16%

Draw

6.17

15%

Ipswich

6.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

2 – 0

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.75

Newcastle xG

Total xG

4.01

1.27

Ipswich xG

68%
16%
15%
NewcastleDrawIpswich

1.46

68%

Home win

6.17

16%

Draw

6.53

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

57%

Over 3.5

1.75

43%

Under 3.5

2.33

37%

Over 4.5

2.70

63%

Under 4.5

1.59

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.05

Clean Sheet

28%

Newcastle

3.55

6%

Ipswich

15.58

Win to Nil

19%

Newcastle

5.19

1%

Ipswich

101.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2
1 5.0 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 6.8 8.6 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.2 7.9 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 4.3 5.4 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.746
λ Away (xG) 1.268
Total xG 4.014
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.420
Newcastle attack strength 1.588
Newcastle defence strength 0.906
Ipswich attack strength 0.985
Ipswich defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33