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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

58%

Newcastle

1.72

22%

Draw

4.47

20%

Fulham

5.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.06

1.07

Fulham xG

58%
22%
20%
NewcastleDrawFulham

1.72

58%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

5.11

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

34%

Newcastle

2.93

14%

Fulham

7.28

Win to Nil

20%

Newcastle

5.05

3%

Fulham

37.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 5.0 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.3 10.0 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.1 6.6 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.6 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.985
λ Away (xG) 1.075
Total xG 3.060
League avg home goals 1.441
League avg away goals 1.189
Newcastle attack strength 1.120
Newcastle defence strength 0.979
Fulham attack strength 0.923
Fulham defence strength 1.230
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46