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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

16:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

55%

Newcastle

1.81

24%

Draw

4.12

20%

Everton

4.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Newcastle xG

Total xG

2.58

0.91

Everton xG

55%
24%
20%
NewcastleDrawEverton

1.81

55%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.88

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

40%

Newcastle

2.49

19%

Everton

5.31

Win to Nil

22%

Newcastle

4.51

4%

Everton

25.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 6.9 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 12.6 11.5 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.6 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.9 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.670
λ Away (xG) 0.913
Total xG 2.583
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.374
Newcastle attack strength 1.531
Newcastle defence strength 0.792
Everton attack strength 0.839
Everton defence strength 0.744
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75