Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Wed 16 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

52%

Newcastle

1.92

21%

Draw

4.69

26%

Crystal Palace

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 2

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.47

1.42

Crystal Palace xG

52%
21%
26%
NewcastleDrawCrystal Palace

1.92

52%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.95

Clean Sheet

24%

Newcastle

4.14

13%

Crystal Palace

7.80

Win to Nil

13%

Newcastle

7.92

3%

Crystal Palace

29.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 6.4 9.0 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 9.3 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.5 6.4 4.5 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.054
λ Away (xG) 1.420
Total xG 3.474
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.439
Newcastle attack strength 1.415
Newcastle defence strength 0.989
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.998
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69