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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

70%

Newcastle

1.44

16%

Draw

6.27

14%

Burnley

6.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

2 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.75

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.96

1.21

Burnley xG

70%
16%
14%
NewcastleDrawBurnley

1.44

70%

Home win

6.27

16%

Draw

6.95

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.92

Clean Sheet

30%

Newcastle

3.36

6%

Burnley

15.64

Win to Nil

21%

Newcastle

4.82

1%

Burnley

108.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 5.2 6.3 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
2 7.2 8.7 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 6.6 8.0 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 4.5 5.5 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 2.5 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.750
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 3.962
League avg home goals 1.532
League avg away goals 1.290
Newcastle attack strength 1.143
Newcastle defence strength 0.947
Burnley attack strength 0.993
Burnley defence strength 1.570
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 14