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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

15:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

31%

Newcastle

3.20

26%

Draw

3.81

42%

Brighton

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Newcastle xG

Total xG

2.97

1.61

Brighton xG

31%
26%
42%
NewcastleDrawBrighton

3.20

31%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.35

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

20%

Newcastle

5.01

26%

Brighton

3.88

Win to Nil

6%

Newcastle

16.04

11%

Brighton

9.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.3 6.7 3.6 1.4 0.5
1 7.0 11.2 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.7 7.6 6.1 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.4 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.355
λ Away (xG) 1.611
Total xG 2.966
League avg home goals 1.403
League avg away goals 1.254
Newcastle attack strength 1.097
Newcastle defence strength 1.271
Brighton attack strength 1.011
Brighton defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72