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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

44%

Newcastle

2.29

29%

Draw

3.39

27%

Brentford

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.01

1.31

Brentford xG

44%
29%
27%
NewcastleDrawBrentford

2.29

44%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

27%

Newcastle

3.70

18%

Brentford

5.46

Win to Nil

12%

Newcastle

8.46

5%

Brentford

20.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.5 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.4 11.0 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.3 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.0 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.698
λ Away (xG) 1.309
Total xG 3.007
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.262
Newcastle attack strength 1.157
Newcastle defence strength 1.104
Brentford attack strength 0.939
Brentford defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62