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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

35%

Newcastle

2.83

26%

Draw

3.80

38%

Bournemouth

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.38

1.73

Bournemouth xG

35%
26%
38%
NewcastleDrawBournemouth

2.83

35%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.15

Clean Sheet

18%

Newcastle

5.61

19%

Bournemouth

5.21

Win to Nil

6%

Newcastle

15.90

7%

Bournemouth

13.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 5.9 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.4
1 5.6 9.7 8.4 4.8 2.1 0.7
2 4.7 8.0 6.9 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.6 4.4 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.1 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.651
λ Away (xG) 1.725
Total xG 3.376
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.255
Newcastle attack strength 1.173
Newcastle defence strength 1.272
Bournemouth attack strength 1.081
Bournemouth defence strength 1.029
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70