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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Newcastle Win
56%
1.80
25%
3.93
19%
5.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.98
Newcastle xG
Total xG
3.10
1.11
Aston Villa xG
NewcastleDrawAston Villa
1.80
56%
Home win
3.93
25%
Draw
5.27
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.67
40%
BTTS No
2.49
Clean Sheet
33%
3.05
14%
7.26
Win to Nil
18%
5.48
3%
38.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.982
λ Away (xG)
1.114
Total xG
3.096
League avg home goals
1.540
League avg away goals
1.518
Newcastle attack strength
1.044
Newcastle defence strength
0.837
Aston Villa attack strength
0.877
Aston Villa defence strength
1.233
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 55