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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Newcastle Win
31%
3.19
26%
3.90
43%
2.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.7%
Away win
2 – 1
7.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
Manchester United xG
Total xG
3.46
1.87
Newcastle xG
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle
3.19
31%
Home win
3.90
26%
Draw
2.33
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.45
31%
BTTS No
3.24
Clean Sheet
15%
6.51
20%
4.91
Win to Nil
5%
20.74
9%
11.42
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 5.0 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.591
λ Away (xG)
1.873
Total xG
3.464
League avg home goals
1.489
League avg away goals
1.473
Manchester United attack strength
1.043
Manchester United defence strength
1.055
Newcastle attack strength
1.206
Newcastle defence strength
1.024
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56